Stock Market Key Metrics, "SELLS" of the Week, DIA and SPY Monday Forecast, Tracking SPDR 13 SELECT SECTORS ETFs, Calendar of Economic Events & Corporate Earnings

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium Friday November 25, 2016 DJIA Closed: 19152.14 +68.96 vs. 18867.93 -35.89 Prior week, 3.19% ABOVE its RISING 21-day moving average of 18395.03 vs. 18395.03 Prior week. (Overbought: Above 21-DMA +4.61 reached on 10-23-15) vs. (Oversold: Below 21-DMA -6.21% reached on 1-15-16 (Historic High: 10.56% on 3-26-09 vs. Historic Low: -26.03% on 5-7-10). Upper 3.5% band: Rose 19210.30U vs. Lower 3.5% band: Rose 17911.00U DIA Trend: 8-day M/A 189.67U vs. 21-day M/A 185.51U Spread: 4.16D vs. 4.58U Prior Week ("M/A Trend Crossover BUY Signal" occurred on 11-9-16.) (Historic High Spread: +5.30 11-7-14 / Historic Low Spread: -7.14 8-15-11). (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread acts as an early warning signal of a shift in portfolio positions by smart money moving in, or out, of the DIA.) DIA Price Volatility: Decreased Friday -0.28 Down from 1.05 Wednesday. (Historic High: 35.10 8-25-15, Low: -10.76% 8-31-15)(5.30+ is considered High Volatility on the immediate horizon. Move to the sidelines when this occurs.) DIA Proposed Range: Monday 0.68 vs. 0.36 Actual Range Friday. (Historic High: 4.31 3-31-09 / Historic Low: 0.60% 7-19-16) (*When the Proposed Range is 0.99 or below, expect an immediate high volatility day, up or down.) DIA Price Momentum: Rose 81%U vs. 58%D Prior week (Historic High: 100% 2-22-12, 97% 4-22-16 / Historic Low: 3% on 9-4-15, 3% 8-21-15, 3% 8-19-11, 3% 6-30-09, and 3% on 10-22-08) DIA MACD: MACD Crossover "BUY" Signal on 11-9-16. Buy remains in effect. DIA 5-Day Stochastic%D: Rose 82U vs. 77D Prior week (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0) DIA Relative Strength 14-Day: Overbought 94%U vs. 75%U Prior week (High 100 3-19-10 / Low 0 7-6-10 & 8-10-11) (Overbought =+75) / (Oversold =-25) DIA Commodity Channel Index: Rose 133U vs. 61D Prior week (Overbought: =>+200 / Oversold: =<-200>) (Historic High: 309.49 12-12-14, 306 11-4-10 / Historic Low: -318 5-6-10, -312 8-21-15.) McClellan Oscillator: Rose 177.93U vs. 69.34U Prior week (an overbought / oversold indicator.) (Historic High: 386.03 1-6-09 & 332.00 3-3-16 / Historic Low: -438.08 8-8-11) Summation Index: Rose 1104.45U vs. 450.73U Prior week ("Bull Market Breakout" +2500.00 / "Bear Market Breakdown" -2500.00)(Historic High: 5599.98 9-22-09 / Historic Low: -4699.43 11-20-08) DIA Outlook: Rose 74%U vs. 70%U Prior Week (*A Favorite Indicator as it tracks Institutional Sentiment.) (Historic High: 98% 7-22-16 / Historic Low: 2% 3-11-09) DIA Probability of Being "UP" Monday, 11-28-16: 16%D vs. 68%U Last Monday (a reading of 52+ is positive, a reading of 48- is negative) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0) Dow 30 + DIA: 23 Buy vs. 8 Sell, Rose 74%U vs. 68%D Prior Week. (A reading of 52+ is Positive, a reading of 48- is Negative.) (*A Favorite Indicator as its direction most often predicts near term market action.) (an 87%+ reading is Overbought, 97% was reached 7-22 & 7-15-16); (a 13% reading is Oversold, reached on 12-3-15 & 6-15-15, 10% on 8-26-15, 6% on 9-11-15.) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0) DIA Directional Indicator: Rose 72U vs. 55U Prior Week (Historic High: 133 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -117 8-26-15) SPY Directional Indicator: Rose 55U vs. 33U Prior Week (Historic High: 149 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -127 8-26-15) QQQ Directional Indicator: Rose 8U vs. 1U Prior Week (Historic High: 121 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -71 1-8-16) IWB Directional Indicator: Rose 32U vs. 11U Prior Week (Historic High: 94 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15) IWM Directional Indicator: Rose 96U vs. 62U Prior Week (Historic High: 91 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15) IWM/IWB Computation: (IWM Close: 134.07U vs. IWB Close: 123.48U) Ratio: Rose 1.086U vs. 1.076U Prior Week (Small Cap Relative Strength Ratio is calculated taking the daily closing value of the Russell 2000 Index, and dividing it by the Russell 1000. If the line moves upward, then the Russell 2000 is outperforming on a relative basis. That can mean going up faster, or going down more slowly. If the line is moving downward, then the small cap universe is generally doing worse than the large caps, on a relative basis. (*A Favorite Indicator as the Ratio points to a shift in portfolio positions by risk capital investors moving in, or out, of Small Cap stocks.) S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats (SPDAUDP Close: Rose 959.49U vs. 944.03U Last Week) Directional Indicator: Rose 180U vs. 57U Prior Week (Historic Close High: 997.68 7-14-16 / Historic Price Low: 794.14 1-20-16) (*A Favorite Indicator: Interest Sensitive Investment). SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY)Close: 85.75U vs. 84.09U Last Week) (Directional Indicator: Rose 53U vs. 34U Prior Week) (Historic High: 86.54 8-15-16 / Historic Low: 66.86 1-20-16) DIA Levels DIA Resistance: Rose 193.27U DIA Support: Rose 186.62U DIA and SPY Monday Forecast Symbol: DIA Exchange: NYSEArca Description: Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund) DIA 11/25/16 Final Numbers (Open) 191.09 (High) 191.34 (Low) 190.98 (Close) 191.30 (Range) 0.36 DIA 11/28/16 Forecast Opening Fair Value: 191.17 Today's Predicted High: 191.64 Today's Predicted Low: 190.96 Today's Proposed Range: 0.68 Buy/Sell Rating: Buy BULLISH PRICE TREND Binary Ladder Pricing 191.98 Upside Potential R2 191.64 Upside Potential R1 191.51 High Level R2 191.40 Low Level R1 191.17 Pivot Point 190.96 High Level S1 190.83 Low Level S2 190.62 Downside Potential S1 187.27 Downside Potential S2 Symbol: SPY Exchange: NYSEArca Description: SPDR S&P 500 Exchange Traded Fund 11/25/16 Final Numbers (Open) 188.88 (High) 188.95 (Low) 188.32 (Close) 188.46 (Range) 0.63 SPY 11/28/16 Forecast Opening Fair Value: 221.29 Today's Predicted High: 222.07 Today's Predicted Low: 220.97 Today's Proposed Range: 1.10 Buy/Sell Rating: Buy BULLISH PRICE TREND Binary Ladder Pricing 189.67 Upside Potential R2 189.41 Upside Potential R1 189.25 High Level R2 189.07 Low Level R1 188.64 Pivot Point 188.04 High Level S1 187.86 Low Level S2 187.25 Downside Potential S1 185.10 Downside Potential S2 SPDR 13 Select Sector ETFs WEEKLY COMPARISONS Week ending November 25, 2016 82% XLF (Financials) 78% XLB (Materials) 72% XTL (Telecommunications) 68% XLE (Energy) 66% XRT (Retail) 65% XLI (Industrials) 58% XBI (Biotech) 53% GXC (China) 50% XLK (Information Technology) 49% XLU (Utilities) 46% XLV (Healthcare) 40% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined) 36% XLRE (Real Estate) AVERAGE: 59% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative Week ending November 18, 2016 80% XLF (Financials) 65% XLB (Materials) 62% XTL (Telecommunications) 60% XLI (Industrials) 58% XRT (Retail) 58% XLE (Energy) 56% XBI (Biotech) 48% GXC (China) 46% XLK (Information Technology) 42% XLU (Utilities) 41% XLV (Healthcare) 34% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined) 31% XLRE (Real Estate) AVERAGE: 52% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative Week ending November 11, 2016 80% XLF (Financials) 63% XLB (Materials) 61% XLI (Industrials) 60% XBI (Biotech) 57% XRT (Retail) 57% XTL (Telecommunications) 51% XLV (Healthcare) 47% XLE (Energy) 46% XLK (Information Technology) 45% GXC (China) 42% XLU (Utilities) 36% XLRE (Real Estate) 29% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined) AVERAGE: 52% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative Week ending November 4, 2016 55% XLU (Utilities) 46% XTL (Telecommunications) 43% XLF (Financials) 40% GXC (China) 37% XLRE (Real Estate) 32% XLE (Energy) 32% XLB (Materials) 30% XLK (Information Technology) 26% XLI (Industrials) 23% XLV (Healthcare) 23% XBI (Biotech) 17% XRT (Retail) 11% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined) AVERAGE: 32% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative Selected Stocks this Week to SELL/Sell-Short (11-28-16 to 12-2-16) "BEARISH": AGG, AGNC, AU, BFK, BIV, BND, EMB, GDX, GDXJ, GLD, GOLD, HLF, HSIC, IAU, IGOV, ITM, JO, KRG, LQD, MBB, PCRX, PIN, SDOW, SLV, SLW, TIP, TLH, TV, UA, USLV, UVV. Good luck and good trading! MktMetrics is free to use! We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95/month. Calendar of Economic Events and Corporate Earnings: Next week's earnings calendar will bring some of the month's most highly anticipated data releases, including the preliminary third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) reading, and the all-important nonfarm payrolls report. The Federal Reserve will also be in focus, with the release of the Beige Book due Tuesday, and a number of Fed officials slated to speak throughout the week. On the earnings front, this season is winding down, but among notable names due to report are retailer American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) and grocer Kroger (KR). The week kicks off on Monday, Nov. 28 with no major economic reports slated for release. Fang Holdings (SFUN) and Shoe Carnival (SCVL) are among a short list of companies due to report quarterly earnings. Federal Reserve Vice Chair Stanley Fischer will give a speech before the open on Tuesday, Nov. 29. The preliminary third-quarter GDP reading will be released, as will S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller home price index and the Conference Board's consumer confidence survey. Plus, New York Fed President William Dudley is due to speak. Stepping into the earnings confessional will be Autodesk (ADSK), Mallinckrodt (MNK), Nutanix (NTNX), Splunk (SPLK), and Tiffany & Co (TIF). The ADP private-sector employment report, the Chicago purchasing managers index (PMI), weekly crude inventories, and pending home sales are due for release Wednesday, Nov. 30, as is the Fed's Beige Book. Stepping up to the mic throughout the day will be Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and Fed Governor Jerome Powell. AEO, Box Inc (BOX), Guess? (GES), and La-Z-Boy (LZB), will reveal their quarterly earnings. Thursday, Dec. 1 will bring a slew of economic data, including motor vehicle sales, weekly jobless claims, the purchasing managers manufacturing index (PMI), the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) manufacturing index, and construction spending. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester will speak again on Thursday, as well. Taking their turns in the earnings spotlight will be Ambarella (AMBA), Dollar General (DG), Express (EXPR), Five Below (FIVE), KR, Smith & Wesson (SWHC), Ulta Salon (ULTA), Workday (WDAY), and Zumiez (ZUMZ). The week will wrap up on Friday, Dec. 2 with the release of data on the employment situation for November, including the crucial nonfarm payrolls report, as well as a speech from Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo. Rounding out the week's earnings releases are Big Lots (BIG) and Fred's (FRED). MktMetrics, Inc. Web Partners include: Lightspeed Trading, LLC Lightspeed Trading, LLC provides securities and direct access brokerage, trading, and order routing services. It offers Lightspeed Trader, a market access trading system for executing equities, options, and futures. The company also provides Lightspeed Risk, an equity risk management application for monitoring profit and loss, and stock activities and positions. It was formerly known as E*TRADE Professional Trading, LLC and changed its name to Lightspeed Trading, LLC in 2006. The company is based in New York, New York. Lightspeed Trading, LLC operates as a subsidiary of Lightspeed Financial, LLC. Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Interactive Brokers conducts its broker/dealer and proprietary trading businesses on over 80 market destinations worldwide. In its broker dealer agency business, IB provides direct access ("on line") trade execution and clearing services to institutional and professional traders for a wide variety of electronically traded products including stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide. In its proprietary trading business IB engages in market making for its own account in about Switzerland, Canada, Hong Kong, UK, Australia, Hungary, Russia, India, China and 6,500 different electronically traded products. Interactive Brokers' headquarters are in Greenwich Connecticut, and it has about 800 employees in its offices in the USA, Estonia. IB is regulated by the SEC, FINRA, NYSE, SFA and other regulatory agencies around the world. Disclaimer: The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. 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Stock Market's Best Performing Group, By Far!

80% XLF (Financials) is the best performing group on Wall Street Big Banks & Regional Banks Today's Date: 11/20/16 Last Updated: 11/18/16 BAC S/BUY 100/ 0.60(2)= 1.20 96D 0.27(3)= 0.81 0.56+ -0.39D BANF S/BUY 97+ 3.32(2)= 6.64 88U 3.10(3)= 9.30 0.73+ 2.66U BBT S/BUY 100/ 1.01(2)= 2.02 99U 0.74(3)= 2.22 0.48+ 0.20D BK S/BUY 100+ 1.00(2)= 2.00 93D 0.50(3)= 1.50 0.50+ -0.50D BOH S/BUY 92- 3.09(2)= 6.18 87D 1.12(3)= 3.36 0.66+ -2.82U c S/BUY 100/ 1.73(2)= 3.46 96D 0.85(3)= 2.55 0.64/ -0.91D CBSH S/BUY 99- 1.82(2)= 3.64 93U 0.80(3)= 2.40 0.63+ -1.24D CFR S/BUY 100/ 3.37(2)= 6.74 85U 1.09(3)= 3.27 0.56+ -3.47D CIT S/BUY 100/ 1.08(2)= 2.16 96D 0.47(3)= 1.41 0.36+ -0.75D CMA S/BUY 100/ 2.03(2)= 4.06 98N 0.69(3)= 2.07 0.78+ -1.99D EGBN S/BUY 99+ 2.50(2)= 5.00 78U 1.80(3)= 5.40 0.48+ 0.40D FFIN S/BUY 100/ 3.17(2)= 6.34 91D 1.60(3)= 4.80 0.77+ -1.54D FITB S/BUY 100/ 0.94(2)= 1.88 96U 0.48(3)= 1.44 0.43+ -0.44D GS S/BUY 96- 6.80(2)= 13.60 95D 2.35(3)= 7.05 2.07/ -6.55D JPM S/BUY 92- 1.92(2)= 3.84 83D 0.87(3)= 2.61 0.72+ -1.23U KEY S/BUY 100/ 0.71(2)= 1.42 97D 0.19(3)= 0.57 0.54+ -0.85D KRE S/BUY 100/ 1.55(2)= 3.10 97U 0.67(3)= 2.01 0.75+ -1.09D MS S/BUY 100/ 1.38(2)= 2.76 98D 0.77(3)= 2.31 0.64+ -0.45D MTB S/BUY 100/ 3.89(2)= 7.78 96U 2.53(3)= 7.59 1.60+ -0.19D NTRS S/BUY 92- 2.36(2)= 4.72 91D 0.82(3)= 2.46 0.81+ -2.26D OZRK S/BUY 88+ 2.52(2)= 5.04 84U 0.93(3)= 2.79 0.62+ -2.25U PNC S/BUY 100/ 2.50(2)= 5.00 98U 1.11(3)= 3.33 1.22+ -1.67D SBNY S/BUY 100/ 6.00(2)= 12.00 97U 2.06(3)= 6.18 1.93+ -5.82U SIVB S/BUY 100+ 7.26(2)= 14.52 93U 2.39(3)= 7.17 1.91+ -7.35D STI S/BUY 100+ 1.56(2)= 3.12 91U 0.87(3)= 2.61 0.37+ -0.51D STT S/BUY 100/ 1.47(2)= 2.94 94D 1.24(3)= 3.72 0.52/ 0.78D TMP S/BUY 100/ 2.87(2)= 5.74 99D 2.73(3)= 8.19 0.72+ 2.45D USB S/BUY 100/ 0.72(2)= 1.44 96U 0.74(3)= 2.22 0.48/ 0.78U WABC S/BUY 79- 2.84(2)= 5.68 90D 0.63(3)= 1.89 0.80+ -3.79D WFC S/BUY 100/ 1.49(2)= 2.98 86U 0.99(3)= 2.97 0.68+ -0.01D WSBC S/BUY 100/ 1.76(2)= 3.52 96U 1.15(3)= 3.45 0.61+ -0.07U 100% 98% 93% 0.79 -1.32 AVERAGE: 97% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Could Be Rough Sledding This Winter Due To Stronger Dollar

Looking Back at the Stock Market Never Gets Old

I wrote about this a few weeks ago suggesting to wait for this Outlook signal to change directions before committing capital. DIA Outlook 42% Falling 41% Rising 42% Rising 43% Rising 44% Rising 44% Rising 44% Rising 44% Falling 44% Falling 44% Falling 43% Falling 40% Falling 38% Falling 38% Falling 41% Rising (Catch the Turn with MktMetrics.com) 48% Rising 55% Rising 62% Rising

My Friend of 35 Years Sent Me This on the Stock Market

Wow - a President Trump with a working majority (so it would seem) in the House and Senate. Think of the roads and bridges he can build. But is all the protesting in big Cities a foretaste? Hope not. And health care! Drug companies less regulated. Time Warner less regulated. More military and more guns. So many changes. The market has usually done well for new Republican Presidents once they are actually in office. Harding couldn't escape the Wilson Bear market of 1920 until the middle of 1921. IKE needed to end the Korean War and declare for new interstate highway system to get market moving in mid-1953. Nixon became President with US already embroiled in war in VietNam and after there had already been a wild speculative market in low priced stocks. Small wonder the market fell apart in the second half of 1969. Rates were also on the rise then, too. No bottom until May 1970. Reagan fared little better. A bear market started after May 1982 and lasted until August 1983 when Volcker finally decided to let rates fall. And then there's George Bush Jr. The Clinton Years were so good for stocks and a vicious bear market started almost as soon he was inaugurated. It did not end until March 2003. So next year may not be good. And, of course, the Russians will be recalling the fact that it will be the 100th anniversary of the two Russian revolutions of 1917. So, Trump may find it harder to get along with Russia than he thinks. But it's certainly worth a try. We have a common enemy, Isis. I admit to looking forward to President Trump very much. He could do so much to help middle-America instead of always taking Wall Street's suggestions. 1954-1955 under IKE and 1982-1984, 1985-1987 were magnificent under Reagan for the stock market. It pays to be an optimist. But we'll see how CNN treats him. How thick his skin is. Etc... Happy Veterans Day!

DJIA Outlook Continues to Deteriorate

DIA Outlook 50% Falling 52% Rising 52% Rising 53% Rising 54% Rising 56% Rising 56% Rising 54% Falling 49% Falling 46% Falling 44% Falling 43% Falling 42% Falling 41% Falling 42% Rising 43% Rising 44% Rising 44% Rising 44% Rising 44% Falling 44% Falling 44% Falling 43% Falling 40% Falling 38% Falling Friday 11-4-16

Roger from NC wrote regarding the Stock Market and Gold Market

MARKET COMMENTS: 1)Everyone look at the Mcclellan oscillator $NYMO, and the summation index $NYSI. The oscillator is getting low enough to provide a short term rally----into option week ???----but the summation index is doing a "swan dive". This implies that there is much more downside after any short term rally. 2)Please go to gold-eagle.com (editorials) and read the article by TIM WOOD. It's one of the most bearish articles I have ever read----and he is likely dead right. Just consider his reasons!!!!! 3)Bearish symptom-----glamour stocks going down on good earnings!!! 4)gold/silver----I tell everyone who is seriously interested in the market to subscribe to marketviews.tv. WHY??? Listening to experienced money managers and market letter writers can be educational. The emcee, IKE ISSOUF, has the best gold timing for the last 3 years. In mid October he called for a gold rally to about 1300 and then another decline to "test" the bottom. Afterwards he forecasts a "blast off" to 1400 or higher. This agrees with the writings by RAMBUS.