Sunday, June 5, 2016

Stock Market Key Metrics, 2-Stock Picks "BUYS" of the Week, Trading DIA Monday, Bearish Stocks to "SELL Now", SPDR 12 SELECT SECTORS ETFs, Calendar of Economic Events and Corporate Earnings

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium Friday June 3, 2016 DJIA Closed: 17807.06 -31.5 vs. 17873.22 +44.93 Prior week, .61% ABOVE its RISING 21-day moving average of 17699.08 vs. 17691.67 Prior week. (Overbought: Above 21-DMA +4.61 reached on 10-23-15) vs. (Oversold: Below 21-DMA -6.21% reached on 1-15-16 (Historic High: 10.56% on 3-26-09 vs. Historic Low: -26.03% on 5-7-10). Upper 3.5% band: 18393.60 vs. Lower 3.5% band: 17149.60 DJIA Linear Regression: Fell -0.01D vs. -0.02D Prior Week (Historic High: +2.16 8-14-13 / Historic Low: -.82 02-12-16) (DJIA Least Squares Regression Channel Top: New High 18,509U and Channel Bottom: Rose 15,884U.) Historic High 18,509.73 6-3-16, bottomed 3-24-16 Low 15,542. DIA M/A Trend: 8-day M/A 177.93U vs. 21-day M/A 176.96U Spread: +0.97U vs. -0.43U Prior Week ("M/A Trend Crossover BUY Signal" occurred on 6-2-16.) (Historic High Spread: +5.30 11-7-14 / Historic Low Spread: -7.14 8-15-11). (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread acts as an early warning signal of a shift in portfolio positions by smart money moving in, or out, of the DIA.) DIA Price Volatility: Increased Friday 2.22 Up from 2.19 Thursday. (Historic High: 35.10 8-25-15, Low: -10.76% 8-31-15) DIA Proposed Range: Monday 1.08 vs. 1.46 Actual Range Friday. (Historic High: 4.31 3-31-09 & 4.09 12-18-14 / Historic Low: 0.63% 5-19-14) DIA Price Momentum: Rose 97%U vs. 94%U Prior week (Historic High: 100% 2-22-12, 97% 4-22-16 / Historic Low: 3% on 9-4-15, 3% 8-21-15, 3% 8-19-11, 3% 6-30-09, and 3% on 10-22-08) DIA MACD: MACD Crossover "BUY" Signal on 5-25-16. Buy remains in effect. DIA 5-Day Stochastic%D: Fell 61D vs. 87U Prior week (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0) DIA Relative Strength 14-Day: Rose 62%U vs. 55%U Prior week (High 100 3-19-10 / Low 0 7-6-10 & 8-10-11) (Overbought =+75) / (Oversold =-25) DIA Commodity Channel Index: Fell 50D vs. 114U Prior week (Overbought: =>+200 / Oversold: =<-200>) (Historic High: 309.49 12-12-14, 306 11-4-10 / Historic Low: -318 5-6-10, -312 8-21-15.) McClellan Oscillator: Rose 91.90U vs. 64.41U Prior week (an overbought / oversold indicator.) (Historic High: 386.03 1-6-09 & 332.00 3-3-16 / Historic Low: -438.08 8-8-11) Summation Index: Rose 3606.41U vs. 3268.28U Prior week ("Bull Market Breakout" +2500.00 / "Bear Market Breakdown" -2500.00)(Historic High: 5599.98 9-22-09 / Historic Low: -4699.43 11-20-08) NYSE Composite Cumulative Unadjusted Up-Vol. minus Down-Vol: "MAJOR BUY" Signal occurred Thursday, 6-2-16 DJIA at 17,838.56, "Resistance" at DJIA 18,083 met on 4-20-16. ROC 27.18% vs. 26.37% Prior Week, Annual ROC -1.85% vs. -.79% Prior Week. (Overbought: +23 / Oversold: -23) (Annual ROC Historic High: +26.60 5-17-13 / Historic Low: -23.24% 1-27-12) Exchange Insiders' Inventory: Rose .07U vs. .04U Prior Week (Historic High: +44 11-20-14 / Historic Low: -46 12-19-11) Mean= -2 DIA Outlook: Rose 82%U vs. 69%U Prior Week (*A Favorite Indicator as it tracks Institutional Sentiment.) (Historic High: 96% 7-28-09 / Historic Low: 2% 3-11-09) DIA Probability of Being "UP" Monday, 6-6-16: 55% vs. 16% Last Monday (a reading of 52+ is positive, a reading of 48- is negative) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0) Dow 30 + DIA: 24 Buy vs. 7 Sell, Rose 77%U vs. 65%U Prior Week. (A reading of 52+ is Positive, a reading of 48- is Negative.) (*A Favorite Indicator as its direction most often predicts near term market action.) (an 87%+ reading is Overbought 97% was reached 4-1-16, a 13% reading is Oversold, reached on 12-3-15 & 6-15-15, 10% on 8-26-15, 6% on 9-11-15.) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0) DIA Directional Indicator: Rose 19U vs. 11U Prior Week (Historic High: 133 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -117 8-26-15) SPY Directional Indicator: Fell 19D vs. 27U Prior Week (Historic High: 149 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -127 8-26-15) QQQ Directional Indicator: Fell 21D vs. 29U Prior Week (Historic High: 121 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -71 1-8-16) IWM Directional Indicator: Rose 41U vs. 11U Prior Week (Historic High: 91 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15) DIA 06/06/16 Forecast Opening Fair Value: 177.66 Today's Predicted High: 178.60 Today's Predicted Low: 177.52 Today's Proposed Range: 1.08 Buy/Sell Rating: Buy Binary Ladder Pricing 179.14 Upside Potential R2 178.60 Upside Potential R1 178.20 High Level R2 178.16 Low Level R1 177.66 Pivot Point 177.52 High Level S1 177.12 Low Level S2 176.98 Downside Potential S1 174.31 Downside Potential S2 SPDR 12 SELECT SECTORS ETFs WEEKLY COMPARISONS Week ending June 3, 2016 91% XTL (Telecommunications) 87% XLU (Utilities) 87% XBI (Biotech) 86% XLF (Financials) 84% XLV (Healthcare) 80% XLK (Information Technology) 74% XLI (Industrials) 73% XLB (Materials) 69% XLE (Energy) 61% GXC (China) 59% XRT (Retail) 51% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined) AVERAGE: 75% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative Week ending May 27, 2016 85% XTL (Telecommunications) 82% XLF (Financials) 79% XLU (Utilities) 78% XLK (Information Technology) 77% XBI (Biotech) 73% XLV (Healthcare) 67% XLI (Industrials) 63% XLB (Materials) 62% XLE (Energy) 54% XRT (Retail) 49% GXC (China) 47% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined) AVERAGE: 68% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative Week ending May 20, 2016 74% XLU (Utilities) 66% XLF (Financials) 65% XTL (Telecommunications) 58% XLV (Healthcare) 56% XLI (Industrials) 55% XLE (Energy) 55% XLK (Information Technology) 53% XLB (Materials) 50% XBI (Biotech) 47% XRT (Retail) 45% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined) 39% GXC (China) AVERAGE: 55% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative Week ending May 13, 2016 87% XLU (Utilities) 67% XLF (Financials) 65% XLI (Industrials) 59% XLV (Healthcare) 59% XLE (Energy) 58% XTL (Telecommunications) 58% XLB (Materials) 54% XLK (Information Technology) 50% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined) 42% XRT (Retail) 42% XBI (Biotech) 38% GXC (China) AVERAGE: 57% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative Selected Stocks this Week to SELL/Go-SHORT (6-6-16 to 6-10-16 "BEARISH": CALM, CPSI, DOG, DUST, DWTI, DXD, FAZ, FUR, ITM, JDST, MYY, PSQ, QID, RWM, SCO, SDOW, SDS, SFUN, SH, SIG, SKF, SPXS, SPXU, SQQQ, SRTY, TI, TMV, TTT, TWM, TZA, VXX. (31, 6-3; vs. 35, 5-27; vs. 38, 5-20.) Conclusion: Selling is drying up, too early to buy any of these posted. 2-Stock Picks of the Week "BULLISH BUYS Go-Long" (6-6-16 to 6-10-16): "MKSI and EXLS" MKS Instruments, Inc., Earnings Report Due: 20-July-2016. Exlservice Holdings, Inc., Earnings Report Due: 28-July-2016. MKSI (06/3/16 Close 41.57) MKS Instruments, Inc. provides instruments, subsystems, and process control solutions that measure, control, power, monitor, and analyze critical parameters of manufacturing processes in the United States and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Advanced Manufacturing Capital Equipment, Global Service, Asia Region Sales, and Other. It offers pressure measurement and control products used for various pressure ranges and accuracies; materials delivery products, including gas flow measurement products and vacuum valves; automation and control products, such as automation platforms, programmable automation controllers, temperature controllers, and software solutions for use in automation, I/O and distributed programmable I/O, gateways, and connectivity products; and vacuum products comprising vacuum containment components, effluent management subsystems and custom stainless steel chambers, vessels, and pharmaceutical process equipment hardware and housings. The company also provides power delivery and reactive gas generation products that are used in semiconductor and other thin film, as well as medical imaging equipment applications. In addition, it offers gas composition analysis products, such as mass spectrometry- and Fourier transform infra-red based gas composition analysis, and tunable filter spectroscopy products used in the engine development, environmental emissions monitoring, air safety monitoring, and semiconductor industries; information technology products, including software products for analyzing data sets for the pharmaceutical, biotech, and other industries. The company also builds precision machined components and electromechanical assemblies for the analytical instrument, scientific, semiconductor, and medical industries. It serves semiconductor capital equipment manufacturers through direct sales forces, sales representatives, and agents. The company was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts. MKSI 06/06/16 Forecast Opening Fair Value: 41.13 Today's Predicted High: 42.10 Today's Predicted Low: 41.04 Today's Proposed Range: 1.06 Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy Binary Ladder Pricing 42.63 Upside Potential R2 42.10 Upside Potential R1 41.67 High Level R2 41.66 Low Level R1 41.13 Pivot Point 41.04 High Level S1 40.60 Low Level S2 40.51 Downside Potential S1 40.45 Downside Potential S2 EXLS (06/3/16 Close 52.28) ExlService Holdings, Inc. provides operations management solutions and analytics in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Operations Management, and Analytics. The Operations Management segment offers services in the areas of claims processing, subrogation, premium and benefit administration, agency management, account reconciliation, policy research, underwriting support, new business processing, policy servicing, premium audit, surveys, billing and collection, and customer service for the insurance industry; care management/population health solutions, payment integrity, revenue optimization, and customer engagement solutions for the healthcare industry; acquisitions, home moves, billing, meter exchanges, annual service visits, debt recoveries, and withdrawals for the utilities companies; servicing and processing banking products; managing and enhancing operational, financial, and analytical functions for clients in the travel, transportation, and logistics industries, as well as processing transportation and logistics transactions; and finance and accounting operations management solutions, including procure to pay, order to cash, hire to retire, record to report, and treasury and tax processes. In addition, it provides operations consulting services, such as process optimization, benchmarking and performance management, and business process automation; and finance consulting services, such as governance, risk and compliance, finance accounting support, finance organizational design, finance process optimization, and finance systems advisory. The Analytics segment provides predictive and prescriptive analytics in the areas of customer acquisition and lifecycle management, risk underwriting and pricing, operational effectiveness, credit and operational risk monitoring and governance, regulatory reporting, and data management. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in New York, New York. EXLS 06/06/16 Forecast Opening Fair Value: 52.00 Today's Predicted High: 52.77 Today's Predicted Low: 51.79 Today's Proposed Range: 0.98 Buy/Sell Rating: Buy Binary Ladder Pricing 53.26 Upside Potential R2 52.77 Upside Potential R1 52.49 High Level R2 52.38 Low Level R1 52.00 Pivot Point 51.79 High Level S1 51.51 Low Level S2 51.30 Downside Potential S1 50.87 Downside Potential S2 Most Recent "Bullish" Stock Picks: KELYA (05/27/16 Close 19.80); GEL (05/20/16 Close 38.22); HSKA (05/13/16 Close: 39.56); JEC (05/06/16 Close: 48.65); E (04/29/16 Close: 32.77); MKTX (04/22/16 Close: 129.46); HTS (04/15/16 Close: 15.94); SUI (04/08/16 Close: 71.51); PZE (04/01/16 Close: 6.57); EXA (03/24/16 Close: 13.49); JHX (03/11/16 Close: 13.82); ALE (03/04/16 Close: 54.91); CNSL (02/26/16 Close: 22.98); HSIC (02/19/16 Close: 166.24); EDE (02/12/16 Close: 32.99); AEM (02/05/16 Close: 33.51); LG (01/29/16 Close: 63.94); PRFT (01/22/16 Close: 18.78); XEL (01/15/16 Close: 36.50); MGEE (01/08/16 Close: 45.72); CYNO (12/31/15 Close: 44.67); MGPI (12/31/15 Close: 26.48); XRS (12/18/15 Close: 48.49); SWHC (12/11/15 Close: 23.45); LXFT (12/04/15 Close: 79.03); BECN (11/27/15 Close: 43.16); LION (11/20/15 Close: 22.93); EBS (11/13/15 Close: 36.55); IRMD (11/06/15 Close: 31.90); EPAY (10/30/15 Close: 27.68); SCL (10/23/15 Close: 52.59). Calendar of Economic Events and Corporate Earnings: "As anticipation builds ahead of the June 14-15 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy-setting meeting, Monday's speech by Fed Chair Janet Yellen to the World Affairs Council of Philadelphia will be a hot topic, as will Wednesday's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) -- which will provide further insight into the current labor market. Meanwhile, although earnings season is all but over, Valeant Pharmaceuticals Intl Inc (NYSE:VRX) will release its highly-anticipated earnings report on Tuesday, followed by retailer Lululemon Athletica inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) on Wednesday." Monday, June 6 While Monday's economic calendar is bare, both Yellen and Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren are due to speak. United Natural Foods (UNFI) will report earnings. Tuesday, June 7 On Tuesday, productivity and labor costs will be released. Elsewhere, Dave & Buster's (PLAY), HD Supply Holdings (HDS), Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX), and VeriFone (PAY) are set to release results. Wednesday, June 8 Wednesday will see the release of the Labor Department's April JOLTS, followed by the weekly crude inventories update. FuelCell Energy (FCEL), Lululemon Athletica (LULU), and Restoration Hardware (RH) will step into the earnings confessional. Thursday, June 9 Weekly jobless claims is Thursday's only notable economic report. On the earnings front, Francesca's (FRAN), H&R Block (HRB), J.M. Smucker (SJM), Mattress Firm (MFRM), and Vail Resorts (MTN) will step up to the plate. Friday, June 10 The the preliminary Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey for June and the Treasury budget will hit the Street on Friday. Meanwhile, there are no earnings reports set to be released. Good luck and good trading! MktMetrics, Inc. Web Partners include: Lightspeed Trading, LLC Lightspeed Trading, LLC provides securities and direct access brokerage, trading, and order routing services. It offers Lightspeed Trader, a market access trading system for executing equities, options, and futures. The company also provides Lightspeed Risk, an equity risk management application for monitoring profit and loss, and stock activities and positions. It was formerly known as E*TRADE Professional Trading, LLC and changed its name to Lightspeed Trading, LLC in 2006. The company is based in New York, New York. Lightspeed Trading, LLC operates as a subsidiary of Lightspeed Financial, LLC. For the seventh year in a row Barron’s has ranked Lightspeed Trading Best for Frequent Traders and Lowest for Occasional and Frequent Trader’s Monthly Costs New York, NY – April 14, 2016 – Lightspeed Trading is pleased to announce that, for the seventh year in a row, it has been rated as the Best Broker for Frequent Traders in Barron’s 2016 Online Broker Rankings and ranked among those providing the Lowest Monthly Costs for both frequent and occasional traders. Earning 4 ½ stars as a best broker for frequent traders, the survey notes that Lightspeed Trading “offers a lot of personal service along with low commissions” for the very active trader. In particular, Lightspeed’s proprietary trading platform, Lightspeed Trader, provides the performance and speed that active equity and options traders require. "We are pleased that Lightspeed was once again selected as a top broker by Barron’s,” said Kevin Ott, Co-President of Lightspeed Trading. “Lightspeed offers reliable, robust platforms, competitive commission rates, and high touch, personalized customer service. Lightspeed Trader, our proprietary platform, delivers functionality and reliability to our users, even during high volume days. We have earned a respected place in the active trading community and winning Barron’s recognition once again underscores that accomplishment.” Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Interactive Brokers conducts its broker/dealer and proprietary trading businesses on over 80 market destinations worldwide. In its broker dealer agency business, IB provides direct access ("on line") trade execution and clearing services to institutional and professional traders for a wide variety of electronically traded products including stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide. In its proprietary trading business IB engages in market making for its own account in about Switzerland, Canada, Hong Kong, UK, Australia, Hungary, Russia, India, China and 6,500 different electronically traded products. Interactive Brokers' headquarters are in Greenwich Connecticut, and it has about 800 employees in its offices in the USA, Estonia. IB is regulated by the SEC, FINRA, NYSE, SFA and other regulatory agencies around the world. Disclaimer: The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

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